On this web page you will find historical data of our proprietary bond market risk index. The online publishing of our global bond market risk index started on 27.10.2002.

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Historical bond market risk index and crash indication

Historical weekly global bond market risk as of 29.01.2012 - Next update: 05.02.2012
27.10.2002	69%	Bearish
03.11.2002	34%	Bullish
10.11.2002	46%	Neutral
17.11.2002	34%	Bullish
24.11.2002	43%	Neutral
01.12.2002	49%	Neutral
08.12.2002	60%	Bearish
15.12.2002	31%	Bullish
22.12.2002	31%	Bullish
29.12.2002	29%	Bullish
05.01.2003	46%	Neutral
12.01.2003	46%	Neutral
19.01.2003	34%	Bullish
26.01.2003	46%	Neutral
02.02.2003	57%	Neutral
09.02.2003	57%	Neutral
16.02.2003	57%	Neutral
23.02.2003	54%	Neutral
02.03.2003	51%	Neutral
09.03.2003	46%	Neutral
16.03.2003	74%	Bearish
23.03.2003	40%	Neutral
30.03.2003	31%	Bullish
06.04.2003	43%	Neutral
13.04.2003	29%	Bullish
20.04.2003	23%	Bullish
27.04.2003	17%	Very bullish
04.05.2003	11%	Very bullish
11.05.2003	6%	Very bullish
18.05.2003	29%	Bullish
25.05.2003	31%	Bullish
01.06.2003	20%	Bullish
08.06.2003	9%	Very bullish
15.06.2003	9%	Very bullish
22.06.2003	29%	Bullish
29.06.2003	49%	Neutral
06.07.2003	34%	Bullish
13.07.2003	43%	Neutral
20.07.2003	57%	Neutral
27.07.2003	54%	Neutral
03.08.2003	63%	Bearish
10.08.2003	63%	Bearish
17.08.2003	63%	Bearish
24.08.2003	83%	Very Bearish
31.08.2003	57%	Neutral
07.09.2003	57%	Neutral
14.09.2003	54%	Neutral
21.09.2003	46%	Neutral
28.09.2003	31%	Bullish
05.10.2003	49%	Neutral
12.10.2003	51%	Neutral
19.10.2003	66%	Bearish
26.10.2003	69%	Bearish
02.11.2003	53%	Neutral
09.11.2003	97%	Very bearish
16.11.2003	73%	Bearish
23.11.2003	33%	Bullish
30.11.2003	63%	Bearish
07.12.2003	43%	Neutral
14.12.2003	43%	Neutral
21.12.2003	18%	Very bullish
28.12.2003	15%	Very bullish
04.01.2004	33%	Bullish
11.01.2004	38%	Bullish
18.01.2004	35%	Bullish
25.01.2004	35%	Bullish
01.02.2004	53%	Neutral
08.02.2004	35%	Bullish
15.02.2004	30%	Bullish
22.02.2004	48%	Neutral
29.02.2004	33%	Bullish
07.03.2004	40%	Neutral
14.03.2004	30%	Bullish
21.03.2004	45%	Neutral
28.03.2004	40%	Neutral
04.04.2004	63%	Bearish
11.04.2004	58%	Neutral
18.04.2004	75%	Bearish
25.04.2004	78%	Bearish
02.05.2004	78%	Bearish
09.05.2004	85%	Very bearish
16.05.2004	73%	Bearish
23.05.2004	70%	Bearish
30.05.2004	63%	Bearish
06.06.2004	73%	Bearish
13.06.2004	60%	Bearish
20.06.2004	55%	Neutral
27.06.2004	55%	Neutral
04.07.2004	28%	Bullish
11.07.2004	35%	Bullish
18.07.2004	33%	Bullish
25.07.2004	18%	Very bullish
01.08.2004	33%	Bullish
08.08.2004	15%	Very bullish
15.08.2004	28%	Bullish
22.08.2004	33%	Bullish
29.08.2004	18%	Very bullish
05.09.2004	46%	Neutral
12.09.2004	26%	Bullish
19.09.2004	40%	Neutral
26.09.2004	43%	Neutral
03.10.2004	54%	Neutral
10.10.2004	54%	Neutral
17.10.2004	37%	Bullish
24.10.2004	34%	Bullish
31.10.2004	17%	Very bullish
07.11.2004	34%	Bullish
14.11.2004	31%	Bullish
21.11.2004	46%	Neutral
28.11.2004	37%	Bullish
05.12.2004	17%	Very bullish
12.12.2004	14%	Very bullish
19.12.2004	29%	Bullish
26.12.2004	40%	Neutral
02.01.2005	57%	Neutral
09.01.2005	51%	Neutral
16.01.2005	34%	Bullish
23.01.2005	37%	Bullish
30.01.2005	43%	Neutral
06.02.2005	11%	Very bullish
13.02.2005	49%	Neutral
20.02.2005	71%	Bearish
27.02.2005	69%	Bearish
06.03.2005	74%	Bearish
13.03.2005	74%	Bearish
20.03.2005	77%	Bearish
27.03.2005	51%	Neutral
03.04.2005	49%	Neutral
10.04.2005	43%	Neutral
17.04.2005	37%	Bullish
24.04.2005	31%	Bullish
01.05.2005	31%	Bullish
08.05.2005	31%	Bullish
15.05.2005	6%	Very bullish
22.05.2005	9%	Very bullish
29.05.2005	26%	Bullish
05.06.2005	26%	Bullish
12.06.2005	26%	Bullish
19.06.2005	31%	Bullish
26.06.2005	26%	Bullish
03.07.2005	26%	Bullish
10.07.2005	29%	Bullish
17.07.2005	29%	Bullish
24.07.2005	29%	Bullish
31.07.2005	29%	Bullish
07.08.2005	51%	Neutral
14.08.2005	40%	Neutral
21.08.2005	43%	Neutral
28.08.2005	40%	Neutral
04.09.2005	29%	Bullish
11.09.2005	40%	Neutral
18.09.2005	40%	Neutral
25.09.2005	40%	Neutral
02.10.2005	54%	Neutral
09.10.2005	63%	Bearish
16.10.2005	97%	Very bearish
23.10.2005	97%	Very bearish
30.10.2005	97%	Very bearish
06.11.2005	94%	Very bearish
13.11.2005	94%	Very bearish
20.11.2005	91%	Very bearish
27.11.2005	66%	Bearish
04.12.2005	86%	Very bearish
11.12.2005	71%	Bearish
18.12.2005	66%	Bearish
25.12.2005	63%	Bearish
01.01.2006	83%	Very bearish
08.01.2006	60%	Bearish
15.01.2006	57%	Neutral
22.01.2006	50%	Neutral
29.01.2006	57%	Neutral
05.02.2006	61%	Bearish
12.02.2006	67%	Bearish
19.02.2006	44%	Neutral
26.02.2006	78%	Bearish
05.03.2006	78%	Bearish
12.03.2006	92%	Very bearish
19.03.2006	75%	Bearish
26.03.2006	67%	Bearish
02.04.2006	86%	Very bearish
09.04.2006	94%	Very bearish
16.04.2006	97%	Very bearish
23.04.2006	94%	Very bearish
30.04.2006	94%	Very bearish
07.05.2006	89%	Very bearish
14.05.2006	94%	Very bearish
21.05.2006	56%	Neutral
28.05.2006	33%	Bullish
04.06.2006	11%	Very bullish
11.06.2006	50%	Neutral
18.06.2006	36%	Bullish
25.06.2006	89%	Very bearish
02.07.2006	89%	Very bearish
09.07.2006	72%	Bearish
16.07.2006	56%	Neutral
23.07.2006	44%	Neutral
30.07.2006	28%	Bullish
06.08.2006	17%	Very bullish
13.08.2006	39%	Bullish
20.08.2006	17%	Very bullish
27.08.2006	0%	Very bullish
03.09.2006	0%	Very bullish
10.09.2006	22%	Bullish
17.09.2006	50%	Neutral
24.09.2006	11%	Very bullish
01.10.2006	6%	Very bullish
08.10.2006	61%	Bearish
15.10.2006	81%	Very bearish
22.10.2006	78%	Bearish
29.10.2006	64%	Bearish
05.11.2006	44%	Neutral
12.11.2006	17%	Very bullish
19.11.2006	6%	Very bullish
26.11.2006	6%	Very bullish
03.12.2006	0%	Very bullish
10.12.2006	50%	Neutral
17.12.2006	89%	Very bearish
24.12.2006	83%	Very bearish
31.12.2006	100%	Very bearish
07.01.2007	94%	Very bearish
14.01.2007	89%	Very bearish
21.01.2007	89%	Very bearish
28.01.2007	83%	Very bearish
04.02.2007	83%	Very bearish
11.02.2007	61%	Bearish
18.02.2007	11%	Very bullish
25.02.2007	28%	Bullish
04.03.2007	6%	Very bullish
11.03.2007	11%	Very bullish
18.03.2007	28%	Bullish
25.03.2007	67%	Bearish
01.04.2007	67%	Bearish
08.04.2007	78%	Bearish
15.04.2007	94%	Very bearish
22.04.2007	94%	Very bearish
29.04.2007	72%	Bearish
06.05.2007	50%	Neutral
13.05.2007	44%	Neutral
20.05.2007	81%	Very bearish
27.05.2007	94%	Very bearish
03.06.2007	100%	Very bearish
10.06.2007	100%	Very bearish
17.06.2007	100%	Very bearish
24.06.2007	100%	Very bearish
01.07.2007	61%	Bearish
08.07.2007	89%	Very bearish
15.07.2007	78%	Bearish
22.07.2007	17%	Very bullish
29.07.2007	0%	Very bullish
05.08.2007	0%	Very bullish
12.08.2007	28%	Bullish
19.08.2007	6%	Very bullish
26.08.2007	6%	Very bullish
02.09.2007	25%	Bullish
09.09.2007	0%	Very bullish
16.09.2007	3%	Very bullish
23.09.2007	83%	Very bearish
30.09.2007	72%	Bearish
07.10.2007	72%	Bearish
14.10.2007	89%	Very bearish
21.10.2007	44%	Neutral
28.10.2007	14%	Very bullish
04.11.2007	28%	Bullish
11.11.2007	11%	Very bullish
18.11.2007	0%	Very bullish
25.11.2007	0%	Very bullish
02.12.2007	11%	Very bullish
09.12.2007	58%	Neutral
16.12.2007	81%	Very bearish
23.12.2007	75%	Bearish
30.12.2007	67%	Bearish
06.01.2008	33%	Bullish
13.01.2008	11%	Very bullish
20.01.2008	6%	Very bullish
27.01.2008	28%	Bullish
03.02.2008	28%	Bullish
10.02.2008	44%	Neutral
17.02.2008	72%	Bearish
24.02.2008	94%	Very bearish
02.03.2008	39%	Bullish
09.03.2008	28%	Bullish
16.03.2008	11%	Very bullish
23.03.2008	8%	Very bullish
30.03.2008	33%	Bullish
06.04.2008	56%	Neutral
13.04.2008	61%	Bearish
20.04.2008	89%	Very bearish
27.04.2008	100%	Very bearish
04.05.2008	83%	Very bearish
11.05.2008	50%	Neutral
18.05.2008	72%	Bearish
25.05.2008	89%	Very bearish
01.06.2008	83%	Very bearish
08.06.2008	83%	Very bearish
15.06.2008	94%	Very bearish
22.06.2008	100%	Very bearish
29.06.2008	33%	Bullish
06.07.2008	22%	Bullish
13.07.2008	17%	Very bullish
20.07.2008	19%	Very bullish
27.07.2008	36%	Bullish
03.08.2008	17%	Very bullish
10.08.2008	17%	Very bullish
17.08.2008	17%	Very bullish
24.08.2008	22%	Bullish
31.08.2008	6%	Very bullish
07.09.2008	0%	Very bullish
14.09.2008	33%	Bullish
21.09.2008	58%	Neutral
28.09.2008	33%	Bullish
05.10.2008	22%	Bullish
12.10.2008	39%	Bullish
19.10.2008	67%	Bearish
26.10.2008	28%	Bullish
02.11.2008	50%	Neutral
09.11.2008	61%	Bearish
16.11.2008	28%	Bullish
23.11.2008	6%	Very bullish
30.11.2008	0%	Very bullish
07.12.2008	6%	Very bullish
14.12.2008	11%	Very bullish
21.12.2008	11%	Very bullish
28.12.2008	6%	Very bullish
04.01.2009	6%	Very bullish
11.01.2009	28%	Bullish
18.01.2009	17%	Very bullish
25.01.2009	33%	Bullish
01.02.2009	44%	Neutral
08.02.2009	61%	Bearish
15.02.2009	39%	Bullish
22.02.2009	28%	Bullish
01.03.2009	50%	Neutral
08.03.2009	28%	Bullish
15.03.2009	56%	Neutral
22.03.2009	33%	Bullish
29.03.2009	67%	Bearish
05.04.2009	72%	Bearish
12.04.2009	78%	Bearish
19.04.2009	78%	Bearish
26.04.2009	72%	Bearish
03.05.2009	78%	Bearish
10.05.2009	100%	Very bearish
17.05.2009	83%	Very bearish
24.05.2009	89%	Very bearish
31.05.2009	100%	Very bearish
07.06.2009	89%	Very bearish
14.06.2009	94%	Very bearish
21.06.2009	78%	Bearish
28.06.2009	50%	Neutral
05.07.2009	50%	Neutral
10.07.2009	44%	Neutral
17.07.2009	72%	Bearish
24.07.2009	81%	Very bearish
31.07.2009	69%	Bearish
07.08.2009	81%	Very bearish
14.08.2009	44%	Neutral
21.08.2009	31%	Bullish
28.08.2009	31%	Bullish
04.09.2009	31%	Bullish
11.09.2009	25%	Bullish
18.09.2009	63%	Bearish
25.09.2009	25%	Bullish
02.10.2009	0%	Very bullish
09.10.2009	38%	Bullish
16.10.2009	63%	Bearish
23.10.2009	75%	Bearish
30.10.2009	50%	Neutral
06.11.2009	69%	Bearish
13.11.2009	50%	Neutral
20.11.2009	13%	Very bullish
27.11.2009	0%	Very bullish
04.12.2009	44%	Neutral
11.12.2009	56%	Neutral
18.12.2009	63%	Bearish
25.12.2009	69%	Bearish
01.01.2010	81%	Very bearish
08.01.2010	94%	Very bearish
15.01.2010	56%	Neutral
22.01.2010	19%	Very bullish
29.01.2010	19%	Very bullish
05.02.2010	31%	Bullish
12.02.2010	56%	Neutral
19.02.2010	75%	Bearish
26.02.2010	38%	Bullish
05.03.2010	38%	Bullish
12.03.2010	75%	Bearish
19.03.2010	69%	Bearish
26.03.2010	81%	Very bearish
02.04.2010	69%	Bearish
09.04.2010	81%	Very bearish
16.04.2010	69%	Bearish
23.04.2010	56%	Neutral
30.04.2010	19%	Very bullish
07.05.2010	0%	Very bullish
14.05.2010	0%	Very bullish
21.05.2010	0%	Very bullish
28.05.2010	0%	Very bullish
04.06.2010	0%	Very bullish
11.06.2010	31%	Bullish
18.06.2010	25%	Bullish
25.06.2010	13%	Very bullish
02.07.2010	13%	Very bullish
09.07.2010	13%	Very bullish
16.07.2010	13%	Very bullish
23.07.2010	44%	Neutral
30.07.2010	25%	Bullish
06.08.2010	13%	Very bullish
13.08.2010	0%	Very bullish
20.08.2010	0%	Very bullish
27.08.2010	6%	Very bullish
03.09.2010	25%	Bullish
10.09.2010	50%	Neutral
17.09.2010	44%	Neutral
24.09.2010	25%	Bullish
01.10.2010	13%	Very bullish
08.10.2010	6%	Very bullish
15.10.2010	38%	Bullish
22.10.2010	56%	Neutral
29.10.2010	75%	Bearish
05.11.2010	56%	Neutral
12.11.2010	75%	Bearish
19.11.2010	100%	Very bearish
26.11.2010	94%	Very bearish
03.12.2010	100%	Very bearish
10.12.2010	100%	Very bearish
17.12.2010	94%	Very bearish
24.12.2010	94%	Very bearish
31.12.2010	63%	Bearish
07.01.2011	69%	Bearish
14.01.2011	81%	Very bearish
21.01.2011	100%	Very bearish
28.01.2011	94%	Very bearish
04.02.2011	100%	Very bearish
11.02.2011	94%	Very bearish
18.02.2011	94%	Very bearish
25.02.2011	50%	Neutral
04.03.2011	50%	Neutral
11.03.2011	38%	Bullish
18.03.2011	25%	Bullish
25.03.2011	6%	Very bullish
01.04.2011	63%	Bearish
08.04.2011	88%	Very bearish
15.04.2011	81%	Very bearish
22.04.2011	25%	Bullish
29.04.2011	6%	Very bullish
06.05.2011	0%	Very bullish
13.05.2011	0%	Very bullish
20.05.2011	0%	Very bullish
27.05.2011	0%	Very bullish
03.06.2011	0%	Very bullish
10.06.2011	0%	Very bullish
17.06.2011	0%	Very bullish
24.06.2011	0%	Very bullish
01.07.2011	50%	Neutral
08.07.2011	41%	Neutral
15.07.2011	19%	Very bullish
22.07.2011	6%	Very bullish
29.07.2011	0%	Very bullish
05.08.2011	0%	Very bullish
12.08.2011	0%	Very bullish
19.08.2011	0%	Very bullish
26.08.2011	0%	Very bullish
02.09.2011	0%	Very bullish
09.09.2011	13%	Very bullish
16.09.2011	13%	Very bullish
23.09.2011	6%	Very bullish
30.09.2011	25%	Bullish
07.10.2011	19%	Very bullish
14.10.2011	50%	Neutral
21.10.2011	44%	Neutral
28.10.2011	81%	Very bearish
04.11.2011	8%	Very bullish
11.11.2011	0%	Very bullish
18.11.2011	0%	Very bullish
25.11.2011	31%	Bullish
02.12.2011	31%	Bullish
09.12.2011	38%	Bullish
16.12.2011	13%	Very bullish
23.12.2011	19%	Very bullish
30.12.2011	0%	Very bullish
06.01.2012	25%	Bullish
13.01.2012	13%	Very bullish
20.01.2012	56%	Neutral
27.01.2012	38%	Bullish

IMPORTANT: This risk index is not intended to provide personal investment advice. This risk index has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any particular trading or market timing strategy. This risk rating does not provide, imply, or otherwise constitute a guarantee of performance. Therefore it should not be assumed that future risk ratings will be profitable or will equal past performance, real, indicated or implied. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Please also read our detailed risk disclaimer and disclosure statement.